You are positing that the US electorate, the same group that sees an old man screaming "THEY'RE EATING THE DOGS" as a likely president because they are incapable of separating truth from fiction, would react to a US government arresting Israel's imminent war (or even showing mild disapproval) by listening to the nuances of the sitation and being impressed at a show of strength? I admire your optimism!Son of Mathonwy wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2024 9:56 amThe US government absolutely has control here. They choose not to exercise the power they have.Puja wrote: ↑Thu Sep 26, 2024 12:22 amBold to assume that the US government has any control here. They may technically have the absolute power to call Israel to heel, but in doing so would guarantee a Republican landslide. Nevermind Trump's braying to the Christian nationalists and fanatics that would follow, just look at the special interest groups and PACS that targetted the reelection campaigns of pro-Palestinian Democratic Senators and destroyed them with funding their opponents, then scale that up nationally.Son of Mathonwy wrote: ↑Wed Sep 25, 2024 11:01 pm
The US could stop it at any time, since they're supplying most of the weapons for it. Therefore they either want it to happen or they're indifferent. As the only superpower it would seem strange for them to let Israel make such big decisions for it, so it's safer to assume they want it to happen. Essentially the US is using Israel to wreck the Middle East ie create mass destruction and death in enemy Muslim countries, presumably for such ends as domination of an oil rich region, weakening Iran, to counter Russia's influence, whatever's trending in the CIA at this time.
Puja
If you give a country billions of dollars worth of weapons habitually, massively increase this in response to that country's use of those weapons then it's reasonable to assume you approve of what that country's doing with them.
I appreciate that today would not be the optimal day for Biden to develop a conscience. It would have been better to have taken an ethically and legally defensible position much earlier. But we are talking about total hypotheticals anyway...
I disagree that opposing Israel's actions at this time would cause a Republican victory , let alone a landslide. Just because an action seems inconceivable does not mean the sky would fall on our heads. Opposing Israel's actions could easily be framed as opposing Netanyahu, effectively about saving Israel from a dangerous man who would drag it into war. He could (again, inconceivable) call the pager attacks what they are, a massive terrorist act, and say that Israel has an out-of-control leader. You may think Netanyahu has power over Biden but imagine how long Netanyahu would last if the Israelis thought he had lost them the support of the US.
And who knows? The voters might actually be impressed with a show of strength.
No, the US electorate at large is highly racist, especially against Arabic muslims, and are predisposed by decades of culture and memes (in the original definition of the word) to see them all as freedom-hating terrorists and the majority white army as "The Good Guys" (not harmed by their army's friendly title of "Defence Force" no matter how proactive their defence gets). Combine that with the state of Israel's highly effective propaganda campaign to define any opposition to them as anti-Semitism and pro-terrorism, plus their political reach and connections in the US government, not to mention the Christofascists who think that supporting Israel is their godly duty and is part of the plan to bring on The Rapture, combined with the vested interests and money that would benefit from a destabilisation of the area. 58% of the US electorate support Israel's war in Gaza and that's before the propaganda blitz that stopping military support would incite.
Any attempt to frame it as "We're just opposing Netanyahu" would get drowned in the flood. Trump would pivot his campaign to "On day one, we're going to restart the shipments to Israel, we're going to give them so many way to protect themselves, truly they'd never be so protected, so safe, as I would make them" and all of the swing states that are right in the balance as things are would go Republican for President, Senate, and Congress. Hells, it wouldn't take that big of a swing to leave the Republican party with a supermajority in the Senate and who the fuck wants Trump with the power to rewrite the Constitution?
So yeah, Biden absolutely has the power to stop Netanyahu. It just wouldn't last very long.
Puja
ETA. I mean, I agree that he probably wouldn't anyway, but it's by-the-by when he also can't.